{"id":1553,"date":"2023-04-03T11:16:07","date_gmt":"2023-04-03T09:16:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bundesstiftung-friedensforschung.de\/en\/2023\/04\/03\/die-gesellschaftliche-akzeptanz-von-waffenexporten-in-den-wichtigsten-exportierenden-eu-und-nato-laendern\/"},"modified":"2025-09-24T17:55:30","modified_gmt":"2025-09-24T15:55:30","slug":"die-gesellschaftliche-akzeptanz-von-waffenexporten-in-den-wichtigsten-exportierenden-eu-und-nato-laendern","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bundesstiftung-friedensforschung.de\/en\/2023\/04\/03\/die-gesellschaftliche-akzeptanz-von-waffenexporten-in-den-wichtigsten-exportierenden-eu-und-nato-laendern\/","title":{"rendered":"Social acceptance of arms exports in the main exporting EU and NATO countries"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-7ab6wh-a2d792bc6f24bdc3df4c835c5f405bb0\">\n.flex_column.av-7ab6wh-a2d792bc6f24bdc3df4c835c5f405bb0{\nbackground-color:#f2f2f2;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='flex_column av-7ab6wh-a2d792bc6f24bdc3df4c835c5f405bb0 av_one_full  avia-builder-el-0  el_before_av_section  avia-builder-el-no-sibling  first flex_column_div  '     ><p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-bfyke7-9b610966136dd7f83d7b79586ae4bf9d\">\n.av_font_icon.av-bfyke7-9b610966136dd7f83d7b79586ae4bf9d{\ncolor:#0a0a0a;\nborder-color:#0a0a0a;\n}\n.avia-svg-icon.av-bfyke7-9b610966136dd7f83d7b79586ae4bf9d svg:first-child{\nstroke:#0a0a0a;\nfill:#0a0a0a;\n}\n.av_font_icon.av-bfyke7-9b610966136dd7f83d7b79586ae4bf9d .av-icon-char{\nfont-size:40px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<span  class='av_font_icon av-bfyke7-9b610966136dd7f83d7b79586ae4bf9d avia_animate_when_visible av-icon-style- avia-icon-pos-left avia-svg-icon avia-font-svg_entypo-fontello avia-icon-animate'><a href='https:\/\/bundesstiftung-friedensforschung.de\/en\/forschungsprojekte-fb-1\/'   class='av-icon-char' data-av_svg_icon='left-open' data-av_iconset='svg_entypo-fontello' data-avia-icon-tooltip=\"&lt;br \/&gt;\nBack to FB1&lt;br \/&gt;\n\"><svg version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"11\" height=\"32\" viewBox=\"0 0 11 32\" preserveAspectRatio=\"xMidYMid meet\" aria-labelledby='av-svg-title-1' aria-describedby='av-svg-desc-1' role=\"graphics-symbol\" aria-hidden=\"false\">\n<title id='av-svg-title-1'>Left-open<\/title>\n<desc id='av-svg-desc-1'>Left-open<\/desc>\n<path d=\"M7.744 7.168q0.448-0.512 1.248-0.512t1.312 0.512q1.216 1.152 0 2.56l-5.952 6.272 5.952 6.208q1.216 1.408 0 2.56-0.512 0.512-1.28 0.512t-1.28-0.512l-7.232-7.552q-0.512-0.512-0.512-1.216 0-0.768 0.512-1.28 6.592-6.848 7.232-7.552z\"><\/path>\n<\/svg><\/a><\/span><br \/>\n\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-5qkdj5-55c260aaa5c1d7bc1309c4ad1e0094c1\">\n#top .hr.hr-invisible.av-5qkdj5-55c260aaa5c1d7bc1309c4ad1e0094c1{\nheight:25px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='hr av-5qkdj5-55c260aaa5c1d7bc1309c4ad1e0094c1 hr-invisible  avia-builder-el-2  el_after_av_font_icon  avia-builder-el-last '><span class='hr-inner '><span class=\"hr-inner-style\"><\/span><\/span><\/div><\/p><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><!-- close content main div --><\/div><\/div>\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-mepgzm1h-4a65c6589422558603e4658e895e398e\">\n.avia-section.av-mepgzm1h-4a65c6589422558603e4658e895e398e{\nmargin-top:-50px;\nmargin-bottom:25px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div id='av_section_1'  class='avia-section av-mepgzm1h-4a65c6589422558603e4658e895e398e main_color avia-section-default avia-no-border-styling  avia-builder-el-3  el_after_av_one_full  el_before_av_hr  fade-up-section avia-bg-style-scroll container_wrap fullsize'  ><div class='container av-section-cont-open' ><div class='template-page content  av-content-full alpha units'><div class='post-entry post-entry-type-page post-entry-1553'><div class='entry-content-wrapper clearfix'>\n<div class='flex_column_table av-3lcvsx-67fa238be59d52820c716fa56d6802e8 sc-av_one_full av-equal-height-column-flextable'>\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-3lcvsx-67fa238be59d52820c716fa56d6802e8\">\n@-webkit-keyframes av_boxShadowEffect_av-3lcvsx-67fa238be59d52820c716fa56d6802e8-column {\n0%   { box-shadow:  0 0 0 0 #e2e2e2; 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Prof. Dr. Paul W. Thurner, Geschwister-Scholl-Institut f\u00fcr Politikwissenschaft, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universit\u00e4t M\u00fcnchen<a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><br \/>\n<\/a><strong>Project typ:<\/strong> Profile project<br \/>\n<strong>Funding amount: <\/strong>150 Tsd. Euro<br \/>\n<strong>Duration:<\/strong> 30 month<\/p>\n<\/div><\/section><br \/>\n\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-8i0p0f-2dba2e84b494cdd6604123278bf63f6c\">\n#top .hr.hr-invisible.av-8i0p0f-2dba2e84b494cdd6604123278bf63f6c{\nheight:5px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='hr av-8i0p0f-2dba2e84b494cdd6604123278bf63f6c hr-invisible  avia-builder-el-6  el_after_av_textblock  el_before_av_textblock '><span class='hr-inner '><span class=\"hr-inner-style\"><\/span><\/span><\/div><br \/>\n<section  class='av_textblock_section av-3jn0gf-15448d95828e6eb49f7f4ca568e5cd8a '   itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/BlogPosting\" itemprop=\"blogPost\" ><div class='avia_textblock av_inherit_color'  itemprop=\"text\" ><h3>Publications<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Mehltretter, Andreas,\u00a0 Paul W. Thurner, Oliver Pamp, Paul Binder.<\/strong> 2023. Rebels\u2019 Armament Dataset (RAD) Codebook. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gsi.uni-muenchen.de\/lehreinheiten\/le_policy_analysis\/dokumente\/codebook_raed_actualizado.pdf\">Link<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Mehltretter, Andreas and Pamp, Oliver and Thurner, Paul and Binder, Paul. <\/strong>2023, Introducing the Rebels Armament Dataset (RAD): Collecting Evidence on Rebel Military Capabilities (August 10, 2023). Available at SSRN: <a href=\"https:\/\/deu01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fssrn.com%2Fabstract%3D4537283&amp;data=05%7C01%7Ckscheerschmidt%40bundesstiftung-friedensforschung.de%7C284ee8595ab743a96c8808dba4876a43%7C3bcbfaa562684a97befdd6dcbbeddac2%7C0%7C0%7C638284673752931062%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=IWbU4aiYDvlLuzCZ5KEEm99I9fS5iAP8Cll5VibqxvE%3D&amp;reserved=0\">https:\/\/ssrn.com\/abstract=4537283<\/a><\/p>\n<h3>Data sets<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gsi.uni-muenchen.de\/lehreinheiten\/le_policy_analysis\/forschung\/armstrade_intrastate\/index.html\">https:\/\/www.gsi.uni-muenchen.de\/lehreinheiten\/le_policy_analysis\/forschung\/armstrade_intrastate\/index.html<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gsi.uni-muenchen.de\/lehreinheiten\/le_policy_analysis\/dokumente\/codebook_raed_actualizado.pdf\">https:\/\/www.gsi.uni-muenchen.de\/lehreinheiten\/le_policy_analysis\/dokumente\/codebook_raed_actualizado.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n<h2>Abstract<\/h2>\n<p>The Russian army&#8217;s invasion of Ukraine sheds light on the central question of our research project: Should weapons be supplied to other countries? Under what conditions? What do the citizens of the main exporting states in the EU and NATO think about this? The example of Ukraine shows: Arms transfers can shape the political discussion in democratic states. Given the volatility of opinion polls, citizens&#8217; attitudes on this issue appear to be changeable, and the levels of support vary between countries. Surprisingly, however, there is little general research on public attitudes to arms transfers. Beyond the current and acute case of Ukraine, arms exports are repeatedly contested to varying degrees among political parties and in the public spheres in different nation-states. One of the main arguments put forward by civil society groups and, in particular, by parties of the political left is the possible impact of such transfers: the initiation, intensification or prolongation of armed conflicts, the violation of human rights or the stabilization of non-democratic regimes. Counterarguments point to economic and security interests of the sending state, or the support for legitimate defense interests of the receiving state. It is completely open whether the political discussion of such arguments is also reflected in citizens&#8217; attitudes toward arms exports. It is also unclear whether trade-offs between the various aspects actually differ in different countries. It is often argued that, compared to the German population, the populations of other Western democracies with a central role in the international arms transfer system (the United States, France, Italy, the United Kingdom) have much lower concerns about such exports. Thus, a cross-national comparison of voter reactions to arms exports is particularly important to test the assumption of German specificity.<\/p>\n<p>Based on an innovative methodological approach, our project attempts to provide important answers to these essential questions. Using so-called conjoint designs, we implement an experimental format within population-representative surveys. Respondents are repeatedly confronted with multidimensional hypothetical choices between scenarios that differ in decision criteria (attributes). The decision tasks are designed to mimic specific policy options. Respondents are then asked to rank the scenarios and select their preferred option. In this way, we can determine the causal effect of the manipulated dimensions of these scenarios. The project will focus on the comparative relevance of morally legal, economic and security aspects in assessing the legitimacy of arms exports. It will identify value trade-offs between perceived impacts on economic welfare (jobs, innovation, etc.) and normative considerations (risk or presence of conflict, human rights violations, regime characteristics of the importer).<\/p>\n<\/div><\/section><\/p><\/div><\/div><!--close column table wrapper. Autoclose: 1 --><\/div><\/div><\/div><!-- close content main div --><\/div><\/div><div id='after_section_1'  class='main_color av_default_container_wrap container_wrap fullsize'  ><div class='container av-section-cont-open' ><div class='template-page content  av-content-full alpha units'><div class='post-entry post-entry-type-page post-entry-1553'><div class='entry-content-wrapper clearfix'>\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-25blj5-b5cb8929eec693414417d2f7fb312190\">\n#top .hr.hr-invisible.av-25blj5-b5cb8929eec693414417d2f7fb312190{\nheight:25px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='hr av-25blj5-b5cb8929eec693414417d2f7fb312190 hr-invisible  avia-builder-el-8  el_after_av_section  avia-builder-el-no-sibling '><span class='hr-inner '><span class=\"hr-inner-style\"><\/span><\/span><\/div><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><\/br><\/br><b><br \/>\nSocial acceptance of arms exports in the most important exporting EU and NATO countries: A conjoint experiment<\/p>\n<p><\/b><\/br>Profile project<\/br><\/p>\n<p>2022, duration 30 month<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1553","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-aktuelle-forschungsprojekte","category-foerderarchiv-2022-fb1"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Social acceptance of arms exports in the main exporting EU and NATO countries - german foundation for peace research<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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