{"id":1571,"date":"2024-04-30T11:37:26","date_gmt":"2024-04-30T09:37:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bundesstiftung-friedensforschung.de\/en\/2024\/04\/30\/the-implications-of-war-for-russias-center-regional-relations-and-territorial-stability\/"},"modified":"2025-10-30T17:21:02","modified_gmt":"2025-10-30T16:21:02","slug":"the-implications-of-war-for-russias-center-regional-relations-and-territorial-stability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bundesstiftung-friedensforschung.de\/en\/2024\/04\/30\/the-implications-of-war-for-russias-center-regional-relations-and-territorial-stability\/","title":{"rendered":"The Implications of War for Russia\u2019s Center-Regional Relations and Territorial Stability"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-23jqm6t-8d8760a8ecfd808be66305ecb720ff43\">\n.flex_column.av-23jqm6t-8d8760a8ecfd808be66305ecb720ff43{\nbackground-color:#f2f2f2;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='flex_column av-23jqm6t-8d8760a8ecfd808be66305ecb720ff43 av_one_full  avia-builder-el-0  el_before_av_section  avia-builder-el-no-sibling  first flex_column_div  '     ><p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-bfyke7-e27fc38c9bb972177c3c105b93572dff\">\n.av_font_icon.av-bfyke7-e27fc38c9bb972177c3c105b93572dff{\ncolor:#0a0a0a;\nborder-color:#0a0a0a;\n}\n.avia-svg-icon.av-bfyke7-e27fc38c9bb972177c3c105b93572dff svg:first-child{\nstroke:#0a0a0a;\nfill:#0a0a0a;\n}\n.av_font_icon.av-bfyke7-e27fc38c9bb972177c3c105b93572dff .av-icon-char{\nfont-size:40px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<span  class='av_font_icon av-bfyke7-e27fc38c9bb972177c3c105b93572dff avia_animate_when_visible av-icon-style- avia-icon-pos-left avia-svg-icon avia-font-svg_entypo-fontello avia-icon-animate'><a href='https:\/\/bundesstiftung-friedensforschung.de\/en\/thematische-foerderlinie-fb-3\/'   class='av-icon-char' data-av_svg_icon='left-open' data-av_iconset='svg_entypo-fontello' data-avia-icon-tooltip=\"&lt;br \/&gt;\nBack to overview&lt;br \/&gt;\n\"><svg version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"11\" height=\"32\" viewBox=\"0 0 11 32\" preserveAspectRatio=\"xMidYMid meet\" aria-labelledby='av-svg-title-1' aria-describedby='av-svg-desc-1' role=\"graphics-symbol\" aria-hidden=\"false\">\n<title id='av-svg-title-1'>Left-open<\/title>\n<desc id='av-svg-desc-1'>Left-open<\/desc>\n<path d=\"M7.744 7.168q0.448-0.512 1.248-0.512t1.312 0.512q1.216 1.152 0 2.56l-5.952 6.272 5.952 6.208q1.216 1.408 0 2.56-0.512 0.512-1.28 0.512t-1.28-0.512l-7.232-7.552q-0.512-0.512-0.512-1.216 0-0.768 0.512-1.28 6.592-6.848 7.232-7.552z\"><\/path>\n<\/svg><\/a><\/span><br \/>\n\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-1hd1m5x-547439d2a68964c7d4e195a228cbdf6c\">\n#top .hr.hr-invisible.av-1hd1m5x-547439d2a68964c7d4e195a228cbdf6c{\nheight:25px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='hr av-1hd1m5x-547439d2a68964c7d4e195a228cbdf6c hr-invisible  avia-builder-el-2  el_after_av_font_icon  avia-builder-el-last '><span class='hr-inner '><span class=\"hr-inner-style\"><\/span><\/span><\/div><\/p><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><!-- close content main div --><\/div><\/div>\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-120jcs5-71dfb0e7761032255dad5652fde138ca\">\n.avia-section.av-120jcs5-71dfb0e7761032255dad5652fde138ca{\nmargin-top:-50px;\nmargin-bottom:25px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div id='av_section_1'  class='avia-section av-120jcs5-71dfb0e7761032255dad5652fde138ca main_color avia-section-default avia-no-border-styling  avia-builder-el-3  el_after_av_one_full  el_before_av_hr  fade-up-section avia-bg-style-scroll container_wrap fullsize'  ><div class='container av-section-cont-open' ><div class='template-page content  av-content-full alpha units'><div class='post-entry post-entry-type-page post-entry-1571'><div class='entry-content-wrapper clearfix'>\n<div class='flex_column_table av-t08jkl-3880b93b52bf9c3ddf8e635a276ce095 sc-av_one_full av-equal-height-column-flextable'>\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-t08jkl-3880b93b52bf9c3ddf8e635a276ce095\">\n@-webkit-keyframes av_boxShadowEffect_av-t08jkl-3880b93b52bf9c3ddf8e635a276ce095-column {\n0%   { box-shadow:  0 0 0 0 #e2e2e2; 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Euro<br \/>\n<strong>Duration:<\/strong> 30 months<\/p>\n<\/div><\/section><br \/>\n\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-8i0p0f-2dba2e84b494cdd6604123278bf63f6c\">\n#top .hr.hr-invisible.av-8i0p0f-2dba2e84b494cdd6604123278bf63f6c{\nheight:5px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='hr av-8i0p0f-2dba2e84b494cdd6604123278bf63f6c hr-invisible  avia-builder-el-6  el_after_av_textblock  el_before_av_textblock '><span class='hr-inner '><span class=\"hr-inner-style\"><\/span><\/span><\/div><br \/>\n<section  class='av_textblock_section av-3jn0gf-15448d95828e6eb49f7f4ca568e5cd8a '   itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/BlogPosting\" itemprop=\"blogPost\" ><div class='avia_textblock av_inherit_color'  itemprop=\"text\" ><h2>Abstract<\/h2>\n<p>Understanding the evolution of centre-regional relations in Russia, their role in the current political system, the variation in the effects of the war on Russia\u2019s regions and different regional actors and, more generally, the scope and limitations for change and (in)stability are of vital importance to Western policy-makers. Knowledge transfer and exchange on this topic is an integral part of the project which aims to enhance the understanding of potential trajectories of change in Russian state and society.<\/p>\n<p>The project starts from the premise that there is model of centre-regional relations in Russia. (see Irina Busygina &#038; Mikhail Filippov, Non-Democratic Federalism and Decentralization in Post-Soviet States, London: Routledge, 2024). This model relates to all regions of the Russian Federation (the only outliers being the city of Moscow and Chechnya). The main aim of the project is to test the resilience of the existing model during Russia\u2019s aggression against Ukraine. It identifies, follows, analyses, and explains the evolution of Russia\u2019s centre-regional relations and the sources of its territorial (in)stability by exploring the interactions between different levels of governance (federal, regional, and local). The changes under consideration are socio-economic inequalities and disparitites, formal and informal institutions structuring the current model of centre-regional relations and attitudes among regional and federal elites and in society more generally. It is hypothesized that these changes can lead to a gradual erosion of the existing model, for example in case of an increase in the popular legitimacy of the regional governors and their potential attempts to renegotiate their relationship with the centre. Growing interregional disparities, rising social discontent, disagreements over the costs of the war, incl. the high level of \u201cinvestment\u201d into the occupied Ukrainian territories, growing inconsistencies in the policy of the federal centre towards the regions and a resulting fragmentation of the central elites would make this scenario more likely.<\/p>\n<p>The project will draw on available quantitative data sources to map socio-economic trends, political trust and attitudes. Its main empirical contribution consists of a series of regional case studies (for safety reasons not listed here) based on in-depth online interviews with local journalists, members of NGOs as well as experts and researchers from regional universities. Conceptually, the project contributes to the comparative literature on the role of institutions in modern autocracies, and the dynamic underpinning the (in)stability of authoritarian regimes.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/section><\/p><\/div><\/div><!--close column table wrapper. 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