{"id":1842,"date":"2026-03-16T20:41:31","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T19:41:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bundesstiftung-friedensforschung.de\/en\/?p=1842"},"modified":"2026-03-16T20:41:33","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T19:41:33","slug":"social-psychological-underpinnings-of-support-for-secession-in-contexts-previously-affected-by-secession-conflict","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bundesstiftung-friedensforschung.de\/en\/2026\/03\/16\/social-psychological-underpinnings-of-support-for-secession-in-contexts-previously-affected-by-secession-conflict\/","title":{"rendered":"Social-psychological underpinnings of support for secession in contexts previously affected by secession conflict"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-24ple99-22be6eea749dc2e72b9660c14539a3f2\">\n.flex_column.av-24ple99-22be6eea749dc2e72b9660c14539a3f2{\nbackground-color:#f2f2f2;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='flex_column av-24ple99-22be6eea749dc2e72b9660c14539a3f2 av_one_full  avia-builder-el-0  el_before_av_section  avia-builder-el-no-sibling  first flex_column_div  '     ><p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-bfyke7-9b610966136dd7f83d7b79586ae4bf9d\">\n.av_font_icon.av-bfyke7-9b610966136dd7f83d7b79586ae4bf9d{\ncolor:#0a0a0a;\nborder-color:#0a0a0a;\n}\n.avia-svg-icon.av-bfyke7-9b610966136dd7f83d7b79586ae4bf9d svg:first-child{\nstroke:#0a0a0a;\nfill:#0a0a0a;\n}\n.av_font_icon.av-bfyke7-9b610966136dd7f83d7b79586ae4bf9d .av-icon-char{\nfont-size:40px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<span  class='av_font_icon av-bfyke7-9b610966136dd7f83d7b79586ae4bf9d avia_animate_when_visible av-icon-style- avia-icon-pos-left avia-svg-icon avia-font-svg_entypo-fontello avia-icon-animate'><a href='https:\/\/bundesstiftung-friedensforschung.de\/en\/forschungsprojekte-fb-1\/'   class='av-icon-char' data-av_svg_icon='left-open' data-av_iconset='svg_entypo-fontello' data-avia-icon-tooltip=\"&lt;br \/&gt;\nBack to FB1&lt;br \/&gt;\n\"><svg version=\"1.1\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"11\" height=\"32\" viewBox=\"0 0 11 32\" preserveAspectRatio=\"xMidYMid meet\" aria-labelledby='av-svg-title-1' aria-describedby='av-svg-desc-1' role=\"graphics-symbol\" aria-hidden=\"false\">\n<title id='av-svg-title-1'>Left-open<\/title>\n<desc id='av-svg-desc-1'>Left-open<\/desc>\n<path d=\"M7.744 7.168q0.448-0.512 1.248-0.512t1.312 0.512q1.216 1.152 0 2.56l-5.952 6.272 5.952 6.208q1.216 1.408 0 2.56-0.512 0.512-1.28 0.512t-1.28-0.512l-7.232-7.552q-0.512-0.512-0.512-1.216 0-0.768 0.512-1.28 6.592-6.848 7.232-7.552z\"><\/path>\n<\/svg><\/a><\/span><br \/>\n\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-kdest-8986e0469408633a260ae0f6282b79ed\">\n#top .hr.hr-invisible.av-kdest-8986e0469408633a260ae0f6282b79ed{\nheight:25px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='hr av-kdest-8986e0469408633a260ae0f6282b79ed hr-invisible  avia-builder-el-2  el_after_av_font_icon  avia-builder-el-last '><span class='hr-inner '><span class=\"hr-inner-style\"><\/span><\/span><\/div><\/p><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><!-- close content main div --><\/div><\/div>\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-1ctm4ul-e81c35f9164b8493800e59bde09c55a2\">\n.avia-section.av-1ctm4ul-e81c35f9164b8493800e59bde09c55a2{\nmargin-top:-50px;\nmargin-bottom:25px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div id='av_section_1'  class='avia-section av-1ctm4ul-e81c35f9164b8493800e59bde09c55a2 main_color avia-section-default avia-no-border-styling  avia-builder-el-3  el_after_av_one_full  avia-builder-el-last  fade-up-section avia-bg-style-scroll container_wrap fullsize'  ><div class='container av-section-cont-open' ><div class='template-page content  av-content-full alpha units'><div class='post-entry post-entry-type-page post-entry-1842'><div class='entry-content-wrapper clearfix'>\n<div class='flex_column_table av-rffsp9-6f4b1719c8a3d36618eca28f7c2c3e77 sc-av_one_full av-equal-height-column-flextable'>\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-rffsp9-6f4b1719c8a3d36618eca28f7c2c3e77\">\n@-webkit-keyframes av_boxShadowEffect_av-rffsp9-6f4b1719c8a3d36618eca28f7c2c3e77-column {\n0%   { box-shadow:  0 0 0 0 #e2e2e2; 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Prof. Dr. Christopher Cohrs, Philipps-Universit\u00e4t Marburg; Dr. Magdalena Bobowik, University of the Basque Country<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>Project typ:<\/strong> Pilot projekt<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000000;\"> <strong>Funding amount:<\/strong> 50 Tsd. Euro<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000000;\"> <strong>Duration:<\/strong> 10 month<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div><\/section><br \/>\n\n<style type=\"text\/css\" data-created_by=\"avia_inline_auto\" id=\"style-css-av-8i0p0f-1-737bcbc1889f1d9ecd959951693db577\">\n#top .hr.hr-invisible.av-8i0p0f-1-737bcbc1889f1d9ecd959951693db577{\nheight:5px;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div  class='hr av-8i0p0f-1-737bcbc1889f1d9ecd959951693db577 hr-invisible  avia-builder-el-6  el_after_av_textblock  el_before_av_textblock '><span class='hr-inner '><span class=\"hr-inner-style\"><\/span><\/span><\/div><br \/>\n<section  class='av_textblock_section av-3jn0gf-b3fc321939789d651f6525e9d307bb68 '   itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/BlogPosting\" itemprop=\"blogPost\" ><div class='avia_textblock av_inherit_color'  itemprop=\"text\" ><h2>Abstract<\/h2>\n<p>Social psychological research has largely overlooked the factors that shape support for territorial secession, even though secession movements can heighten the risk of conflict escalation. Secession campaigns often draw on identity politics: strong identification with an ethnic, cultural, or religious group is used to mobilize support for seeking autonomy or independence. These movements frequently emerge in response to perceived cultural or economic threats. Social psychology can help understand how identities and threat perceptions shape support for secession, and what psychological mechanisms may contribute to secession-related conflicts.<br \/>\nThe project focuses on two post-conflict contexts with secession tendencies: the Basque Country (BC) in Spain and Republika Srpska (RS) in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Both regions have autonomous governance structures and are inhabited by ethnic groups with strong secessionist movements. Regardless of these commonalities, both have different contextual backgrounds. These differences are crucial to consider in exploring the varied dynamics of secessionist support.<br \/>\nWe employ a social psychological approach based on social identity, relative deprivation, and intergroup threat theories. Our exploratory model suggests that different national and ethnic identity patterns, along with collective relative deprivation, are important factors influencing support for secession. Moreover, group-level psychological mechanisms, especially perceptions of intergroup threat, play a mediating role. Our model posits that different identity patterns and collective relative deprivation can predict varying levels of perceived cultural and economic threat, leading to different levels of support for secession. The model also investigates the impact of indispensability meta-perceptions (perceptions by members of groups motivated to secede about how indispensable the outgroups may think they are) on the relationship between identity, collective relative deprivation, and perceived intergroup threat.<br \/>\nThe project involves two work packages. In the first, we use cross-sectional surveys to collect data among Serbs in Bosnia and Herzegovina and Basques in Spain. This package explores the relationships between national and ethnic identification, collective relative deprivation, and various secession-related outcomes. The second work package involves experimental manipulations of indispensability meta-perceptions to test their effects on secession-related outcomes and perceived threat. We will analyze data using structural equation mixture modeling, allowing latent profiles to serve as predictors in a structural equation model. The goal is to provide a nuanced understanding of social psychological factors that contribute to support for secession and related outcomes. We expect the project findings to be particularly useful for political and civil society actors who are interested in constructive ways of dealing with conflict in contexts with secession tendencies.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/section><\/p><\/div><\/div><!--close column table wrapper. Autoclose: 1 -->\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p><\/br><\/br><b><br \/>\nSocial-psychological underpinnings of support for secession in contexts previously affected by secession conflict<br \/>\n<\/b><\/br>Pilot project<\/br><\/p>\n<p>2025, duration 10 month<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,72],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1842","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-aktuelle-forschungsprojekte","category-foerderarchiv-2024-fb1"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Social-psychological underpinnings of support for secession in contexts previously affected by secession conflict - german foundation for peace research<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, 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